Does Female Labor Force Participation Lead to Male Unemployment?

Sinem Gözde Beşballı

Makale detayları

Does Female Labor Force Participation Lead to Male Unemployment?

Yazarlar:

Sinem Gözde Beşballı

Yayıncı:

Ahmet Arif EREN

Ana Başlıklar:

Cinsiyet | Politika ve Yönetim

Dergi:

Fiscaoeconomia Vol.9 Issue Toplumsal Cinsiyet Özel Sayısı, pp.140-155

Belge Tipi:

Makale

Yayın Tarihi:

9/2025

Belge Dili:

Türkçe

Document ID (Org No.):

2001331790

pISSN:

2564-7504

Anahtar kelimeler:

Özet:

 In this study, the causality relationship between the female labor force participation rate and the male unemployment rate was analyzed using the panel data from 26 Level 2 regions in Turkey for the period 20042024. The data set was obtained from the Turkish Statistical Institute TURKSTAT, and the analyses were performed using the EViews 10 program. The stationarity levels of the variables were examined with the LLC, IPS, ADF-Fisher, and PP-Fisher unit root tests, and it was determined that the series were stationary at the level. The lag length was determined with information criteria such as LR, AIC, SC, and HQ, and the VAR5 model was established with the suggestions of most criteria. The Toda-Yamamoto approach was applied to test the causality relationship, and according to the results obtained, the female labor force participation rate Granger-causes the male unemployment rate; however, there is no significant relationship in the opposite direction. Although this finding shows that increases in womens labor force participation may create short-term pressures on mens employment, it also reveals that policies aimed at reducing gender inequality should be continued. The study offers suggestions for expanding social policies that support womens participation in employment and eliminating gender-based segregation in the labor market.

 In this study, the causality relationship between the female labor force participation rate and the male unemployment rate was analyzed using the panel data from 26 Level 2 regions in Turkey for the period 20042024. The data set was obtained from the Turkish Statistical Institute TURKSTAT, and the analyses were performed using the EViews 10 program. The stationarity levels of the variables were examined with the LLC, IPS, ADF-Fisher, and PP-Fisher unit root tests, and it was determined that the series were stationary at the level. The lag length was determined with information criteria such as LR, AIC, SC, and HQ, and the VAR5 model was established with the suggestions of most criteria. The Toda-Yamamoto approach was applied to test the causality relationship, and according to the results obtained, the female labor force participation rate Granger-causes the male unemployment rate; however, there is no significant relationship in the opposite direction. Although this finding shows that increases in womens labor force participation may create short-term pressures on mens employment, it also reveals that policies aimed at reducing gender inequality should be continued. The study offers suggestions for expanding social policies that support womens participation in employment and eliminating gender-based segregation in the labor market.

 In this study, the causality relationship between the female labor force participation rate and the male unemployment rate was analyzed using the panel data from 26 Level 2 regions in Turkey for the period 20042024. The data set was obtained from the Turkish Statistical Institute TURKSTAT, and the analyses were performed using the EViews 10 program. The stationarity levels of the variables were examined with the LLC, IPS, ADF-Fisher, and PP-Fisher unit root tests, and it was determined that the series were stationary at the level. The lag length was determined with information criteria such as LR, AIC, SC, and HQ, and the VAR5 model was established with the suggestions of most criteria. The Toda-Yamamoto approach was applied to test the causality relationship, and according to the results obtained, the female labor force participation rate Granger-causes the male unemployment rate; however, there is no significant relationship in the opposite direction. Although this finding shows that increases in womens labor force participation may create short-term pressures on mens employment, it also reveals that policies aimed at reducing gender inequality should be continued. The study offers suggestions for expanding social policies that support womens participation in employment and eliminating gender-based segregation in the labor market.

 Bu çalışmada, Türkiyede 20042024 döneminde 26 Düzey 2 bölgesine ait panel veriler kullanılarak, kadınların işgücüne katılım oranı ile erkek işsizlik oranı arasındaki nedensellik ilişkisi analiz edilmiştir. Veri seti Türkiye İstatistik Kurumundan TÜİK temin edilmiş ve analizler EViews 10 programı aracılığıyla gerçekleştirilmiştir. Değişkenlerin durağanlık düzeyleri LLC, IPS, ADF-Fisher ve PP-Fisher birim kök testleriyle incelenmiş ve serilerin düzeyde durağan oldukları belirlenmiştir. Gecikme uzunluğu LR, AIC, SC ve HQ gibi bilgi kriterleriyle belirlenmiş ve çoğu kriterin önerisiyle VAR5 modeli kurulmuştur. Nedensellik ilişkisini test etmek amacıyla Toda-Yamamoto yaklaşımı uygulanmış, elde edilen sonuçlara göre kadın işgücüne katılım oranı erkek işsizlik oranını Granger anlamında nedenlemekte; ancak tersi yönde anlamlı bir ilişki bulunmamaktadır. Bu bulgu, kadınların işgücüne katılımındaki artışların erkek istihdamı üzerinde kısa vadeli baskılar yaratabileceğini gösterse de toplumsal cinsiyet eşitsizliğini azaltmaya yönelik politikaların devam ettirilmesi gerektiğini ortaya koymaktadır. Çalışmada, kadınların istihdama katılımını destekleyecek sosyal politikaların yaygınlaştırılması ve işgücü piyasasında cinsiyet temelli ayrışmaların giderilmesine yönelik öneriler sunulmaktadır.

Makale detayları

Does Female Labor Force Participation Lead to Male Unemployment?

Yazarlar:

Sinem Gözde Beşballı

Yayıncı:

Ahmet Arif EREN

Ana Başlıklar:

Cinsiyet | Politika ve Yönetim

Dergi:

Fiscaoeconomia Vol.9 Issue Toplumsal Cinsiyet Özel Sayısı, pp.140-155

Belge Tipi:

Makale

Yayın Tarihi:

9/2025

Belge Dili:

Türkçe

Document ID (Org No.):

2001331790

pISSN:

2564-7504

Female Labor Force Participation Rate

Male Unemployment Rate

Causality Analysis

Panel Data Analysis

Toda-Yamamota MethodKadınların İşgücüne Katılım Oranı

Erkek İşsizlik Oranı

Nedensellik Analizi

Panel Veri Analiz

Panel Veri Analizi

Toda-Yamamoto Yöntemi

Sayı

Makale detayları

Yazarlar: Sinem Gözde Beşballı

Yayıncı: Ahmet Arif EREN

Ana Başlıklar: Cinsiyet | Politika ve Yönetim

Dergi: Fiscaoeconomia Vol.9 Issue Toplumsal Cinsiyet Özel Sayısı, pp.140-155

Belge Tipi: Makale

Yayın Tarihi: 9/2025

Belge Dili: Türkçe

Document ID (Org No.): 2001331790

pISSN: 2564-7504

Sayı

Yazarlar:

Sinem Gözde Beşballı

Yayıncı:

Ahmet Arif EREN

Ana Başlıklar:

Cinsiyet | Politika ve Yönetim

Dergi:

Fiscaoeconomia Vol.9 Issue Toplumsal Cinsiyet Özel Sayısı, pp.140-155

Belge Tipi:

Makale

Yayın Tarihi:

9/2025

Belge Dili:

Türkçe

Document ID (Org No.):

2001331790

pISSN:

2564-7504