AN ANALYSIS ON THE DETERMINANTS OF CHRONIC POVERTY IN TURKEY

Betül Sağlam; Mehmet Sedat Uğur

Makale detayları

AN ANALYSIS ON THE DETERMINANTS OF CHRONIC POVERTY IN TURKEY

Yazarlar:

Betül Sağlam | Mehmet Sedat Uğur

Yayıncı:

Zonguldak Bulent Ecevit University

Ana Başlıklar:

Kalkınma Ekonomisi - Mikro

Dergi:

Uluslararası Yönetim İktisat ve İşletme Dergisi Vol.19 Issue 4, pp.931-952

Belge Tipi:

Makale

Yayın Tarihi:

12/2023

Belge Dili:

Türkçe

Document ID (Org No.):

2001307495

pISSN:

2147-9208

Anahtar kelimeler:

Özet:

 Static poverty analyses only determine the number of poor people in the population over a given time period, but this aspect reveals a flaw in poverty research. Thorbecke 2007 claims that one of the unresolved issues of poverty is directly or indirectly on the dynamics of poverty. In other words, including the time dimension in poverty analysis is necessary to gain a more comprehensive understanding of poverty. In this study, which takes a dynamic approach to the concept of poverty, the determinants of chronic poverty in Turkey are investigated with a random-effects panel ordered logit model, by using the micro-panel data of the Income and Living Conditions Survey which is published by the Turkish Statistical Institute for the period of 2015-2018. According to the findings, the probability of being temporarily and chronically poor decreases as the age of the individuals increases, the level of education increases, their health status improves and they are being employed. It has also been observed that the probability of being temporarily and chronically poor increases as living conditions become more difficult. Furthermore, women are less likely to be temporarily and chronically poor than men, while married people are more likely than singles to be temporarily and chronically poor.

 Static poverty analyses only determine the number of poor people in the population over a given time period, but this aspect reveals a flaw in poverty research. Thorbecke 2007 claims that one of the unresolved issues of poverty is directly or indirectly on the dynamics of poverty. In other words, including the time dimension in poverty analysis is necessary to gain a more comprehensive understanding of poverty. In this study, which takes a dynamic approach to the concept of poverty, the determinants of chronic poverty in Turkey are investigated with a random-effects panel ordered logit model, by using the micro-panel data of the Income and Living Conditions Survey which is published by the Turkish Statistical Institute for the period of 2015-2018. According to the findings, the probability of being temporarily and chronically poor decreases as the age of the individuals increases, the level of education increases, their health status improves and they are being employed. It has also been observed that the probability of being temporarily and chronically poor increases as living conditions become more difficult. Furthermore, women are less likely to be temporarily and chronically poor than men, while married people are more likely than singles to be temporarily and chronically poor.

 Static poverty analyses only determine the number of poor people in the population over a given time period, but this aspect reveals a flaw in poverty research. Thorbecke 2007 claims that one of the unresolved issues of poverty is directly or indirectly on the dynamics of poverty. In other words, including the time dimension in poverty analysis is necessary to gain a more comprehensive understanding of poverty. In this study, which takes a dynamic approach to the concept of poverty, the determinants of chronic poverty in Turkey are investigated with a random-effects panel ordered logit model, by using the micro-panel data of the Income and Living Conditions Survey which is published by the Turkish Statistical Institute for the period of 2015-2018. According to the findings, the probability of being temporarily and chronically poor decreases as the age of the individuals increases, the level of education increases, their health status improves and they are being employed. It has also been observed that the probability of being temporarily and chronically poor increases as living conditions become more difficult. Furthermore, women are less likely to be temporarily and chronically poor than men, while married people are more likely than singles to be temporarily and chronically poor.

 Yoksulluğun statik analizleri, yalnızca incelenen belirli bir dönem için nüfus içerisindeki yoksul kişi sayısını belirlemektedir. Ancak bu durum aslında yoksulluk incelemelerinin eksik bir yanını da ortaya koymaktadır. Öyle ki Thorbecke 2007, yoksulluğun çözülmemiş konulardan birisinin doğrudan veya dolaylı olarak yoksulluk dinamikleri olduğunu ifade etmektedir. Yani, yoksulluğun daha kapsamlı bir bakış açısıyla anlaşılabilmesi için yoksulluk analizlerine zaman boyutunun da dâhil edilmesi gerekmektedir. Yoksulluk olgusuna dinamik bir bakış açısıyla yaklaşan bu çalışmada, 2015-2018 yılları arasına ait Türkiye İstatistik Kurumu tarafından yayımlanan Gelir ve Yaşam Koşulları Araştırmasının mikro panel verileri kullanılarak, Türkiyede kronik yoksulluğun belirleyicileri rassal etkili panel sıralı logit modeli ile analiz edilmiştir. Elde edilen bulgulara göre, bireylerin yaşı ilerledikçe, eğitim düzeyi arttıkça, sağlık durumları iyileştikçe, çalışıyor durumda oldukça geçici ve kronik yoksul olma olasılıklarının azaldığı; geçinebilme durumları zorlaştıkça geçici ve kronik yoksul olma olasılıklarının ise arttığı sonucuna ulaşılmıştır. Ayrıca, kadınların erkeklere göre geçici ve kronik yoksul olma olasılıklarının daha az, evli olan bireylerin ise bekârlara göre geçici ve kronik yoksul olma olasılıklarının daha fazla olduğu görülmüştür.

Makale detayları

AN ANALYSIS ON THE DETERMINANTS OF CHRONIC POVERTY IN TURKEY

Yazarlar:

Betül Sağlam | Mehmet Sedat Uğur

Yayıncı:

Zonguldak Bulent Ecevit University

Ana Başlıklar:

Kalkınma Ekonomisi - Mikro

Dergi:

Uluslararası Yönetim İktisat ve İşletme Dergisi Vol.19 Issue 4, pp.931-952

Belge Tipi:

Makale

Yayın Tarihi:

12/2023

Belge Dili:

Türkçe

Document ID (Org No.):

2001307495

pISSN:

2147-9208

Poverty

Chronic Poverty

Random Effects Panel Ordered Logit ModelYoksulluk

Kronik Yoksulluk

Rassal Etkili Panel Sıralı Logit Modeli

Sayı

Makale detayları

AN ANALYSIS ON THE DETERMINANTS OF CHRONIC POVERTY IN TURKEY

Yazarlar: Betül Sağlam | Mehmet Sedat Uğur

Yayıncı: Zonguldak Bulent Ecevit University

Ana Başlıklar: Kalkınma Ekonomisi - Mikro

Dergi: Uluslararası Yönetim İktisat ve İşletme Dergisi Vol.19 Issue 4, pp.931-952

Belge Tipi: Makale

Yayın Tarihi: 12/2023

Belge Dili: Türkçe

Document ID (Org No.): 2001307495

pISSN: 2147-9208

Poverty

Chronic Poverty

Random Effects Panel Ordered Logit ModelYoksulluk

Kronik Yoksulluk

Rassal Etkili Panel Sıralı Logit Modeli

Sayı

Yazarlar:

Betül Sağlam | Mehmet Sedat Uğur

Yayıncı:

Zonguldak Bulent Ecevit University

Ana Başlıklar:

Kalkınma Ekonomisi - Mikro

Dergi:

Uluslararası Yönetim İktisat ve İşletme Dergisi Vol.19 Issue 4, pp.931-952

Belge Tipi:

Makale

Yayın Tarihi:

12/2023

Belge Dili:

Türkçe

Document ID (Org No.):

2001307495

pISSN:

2147-9208