Analysis and examination of change trends of some meteorological data between 2012–2021: The case study of Sinop and Kastamonu provinces

İlyas Bolat; Hüseyin Şensoy

Makale detayları

Analysis and examination of change trends of some meteorological data between 2012–2021: The case study of Sinop and Kastamonu provinces

Yazarlar:

İlyas Bolat | Hüseyin Şensoy

Yayıncı:

Cankiri Karatekin University

Ana Başlıklar:

Orman Ekosistemleri | Ormancılık (Diğer)

Dergi:

Anadolu Orman Araştırmaları Dergisi Vol.9 Issue 2, pp.1-9

Belge Tipi:

Makale

Yayın Tarihi:

1/2024

Belge Dili:

Türkçe

Document ID (Org No.):

2001298336

pISSN:

1309-856X

Anahtar kelimeler:

Özet:

 The effects of climate change as a result of global warming appear especially in the form of changes in temperature and precipitation. This study was conducted in Sinop and Kastamonu provinces, located in the east of the Western Black Sea region, in order to determine the regional changes in some meteorological parameters such as monthly minimum, average and maximum temperatures, and monthly average minimum, maximum, and annual total precipitation amounts in the last ten years 20122021. According to the results of the simple linear regression model SLRM, the result of the mean minimum and maximum temperature and the annual mean temperature in Sinop and Kastamonu Sinop; r  0.498, Kastamonu; r  0.225, excluding the mean minimum temperature for Kastamonu province r  -0.07, found to be in an increasing trend. Additionally, there is a statistical difference P  0.05 between the average temperature values of the provinces. In the regression analysis model made to determine the average total precipitation change by years, it was revealed that the average total precipitation tends to decrease in the provinces of Sinop r - 0.094 and Kastamonu r - 0.276. It has been determined that the annual average total precipitation is 738.95 mm in Sinop and 564.55 mm in Kastamonu. As with the average temperature value, there is a statistical difference P  0.05 between the annual total precipitation values of the provinces. The result of the study reveals that the temperatures tend to increase, and changes occur in the precipitation regime and distribution at the regional scale as a sign of global warming.

 The effects of climate change as a result of global warming appear especially in the form of changes in temperature and precipitation. This study was conducted in Sinop and Kastamonu provinces, located in the east of the Western Black Sea region, in order to determine the regional changes in some meteorological parameters such as monthly minimum, average and maximum temperatures, and monthly average minimum, maximum, and annual total precipitation amounts in the last ten years 20122021. According to the results of the simple linear regression model SLRM, the result of the mean minimum and maximum temperature and the annual mean temperature in Sinop and Kastamonu Sinop; r  0.498, Kastamonu; r  0.225, excluding the mean minimum temperature for Kastamonu province r  -0.07, found to be in an increasing trend. Additionally, there is a statistical difference P  0.05 between the average temperature values of the provinces. In the regression analysis model made to determine the average total precipitation change by years, it was revealed that the average total precipitation tends to decrease in the provinces of Sinop r - 0.094 and Kastamonu r - 0.276. It has been determined that the annual average total precipitation is 738.95 mm in Sinop and 564.55 mm in Kastamonu. As with the average temperature value, there is a statistical difference P  0.05 between the annual total precipitation values of the provinces. The result of the study reveals that the temperatures tend to increase, and changes occur in the precipitation regime and distribution at the regional scale as a sign of global warming.

 The effects of climate change as a result of global warming appear especially in the form of changes in temperature and precipitation. This study was conducted in Sinop and Kastamonu provinces, located in the east of the Western Black Sea region, in order to determine the regional changes in some meteorological parameters such as monthly minimum, average and maximum temperatures, and monthly average minimum, maximum, and annual total precipitation amounts in the last ten years 20122021. According to the results of the simple linear regression model SLRM, the result of the mean minimum and maximum temperature and the annual mean temperature in Sinop and Kastamonu Sinop; r  0.498, Kastamonu; r  0.225, excluding the mean minimum temperature for Kastamonu province r  -0.07, found to be in an increasing trend. Additionally, there is a statistical difference P  0.05 between the average temperature values of the provinces. In the regression analysis model made to determine the average total precipitation change by years, it was revealed that the average total precipitation tends to decrease in the provinces of Sinop r - 0.094 and Kastamonu r - 0.276. It has been determined that the annual average total precipitation is 738.95 mm in Sinop and 564.55 mm in Kastamonu. As with the average temperature value, there is a statistical difference P  0.05 between the annual total precipitation values of the provinces. The result of the study reveals that the temperatures tend to increase, and changes occur in the precipitation regime and distribution at the regional scale as a sign of global warming.

 Küresel ısınma ile meydana gelen iklim değişikliğinin etkileri özellikle sıcaklık ve yağışta meydana gelen değişimler şeklinde görülmektedir. Bu çalışma son on yıllık dönemde 20122021 aylık minimum, ortalama ve maksimum sıcaklıklar ile aylık ortalama minimum, maksimum ve yıllık toplam yağış miktarları gibi bazı meteorolojik parametrelerde bölgesel ölçekte meydana gelen değişimleri belirlemek amacıyla, Batı Karadeniz Bölgesinin doğusunda yer alan Sinop ve Kastamonu illerinde gerçekleştirilmiştir. Basit doğrusal regresyon modeli BDRM sonuçlarına göre Sinop ve Kastamonuda ortalama minimum ve maksimum sıcaklık ile yıllık ortalama sıcaklığın Sinop; r  0,498, Kastamonu; r  0,225, Kastamonu iline ait ortalama minimum sıcaklık hariç r  -0,07, artış eğiliminde olduğu belirlenmiştir. Bununla birlikte, illerin ortalama sıcaklık değerleri arasında istatistiki olarak fark P  0,05 vardır. Yıllara göre ortalama toplam yağış değişimini belirlemek için yapılan regresyon analizi modelinde Sinop r - 0,094 ve Kastamonu r - 0,276 illerinde ortalama toplam yağışın azalış eğiliminde olduğu ortaya çıkmıştır. Yıllık ortalama toplam yağışın Sinopta 738,95 mm ve Kastamonuda 564,55 mm olduğu belirlenmiştir. Ortalama sıcaklık değerinde olduğu gibi illerin yıllık toplam yağış değerleri arasında da istatistiki olarak fark P  0,05 vardır. Çalışma sonucu küresel ısınmanın işareti olarak bölgesel ölçekte sıcaklıkların artış eğiliminde olduğunu, yağış rejimi ve dağılımında da değişimlerin gerçekleştiğini ortaya koymaktadır.

Makale detayları

Analysis and examination of change trends of some meteorological data between 2012–2021: The case study of Sinop and Kastamonu provinces

Yazarlar:

İlyas Bolat | Hüseyin Şensoy

Yayıncı:

Cankiri Karatekin University

Ana Başlıklar:

Orman Ekosistemleri | Ormancılık (Diğer)

Dergi:

Anadolu Orman Araştırmaları Dergisi Vol.9 Issue 2, pp.1-9

Belge Tipi:

Makale

Yayın Tarihi:

1/2024

Belge Dili:

Türkçe

Document ID (Org No.):

2001298336

pISSN:

1309-856X

Kastamonu

global warming

regression model

temperature

Sinop

precipitationKastamonu

küresel ısınma

regresyon modeli

sıcaklık

Sinop

yağış

Sayı

Makale detayları

Yazarlar: İlyas Bolat | Hüseyin Şensoy

Yayıncı: Cankiri Karatekin University

Ana Başlıklar: Orman Ekosistemleri | Ormancılık (Diğer)

Dergi: Anadolu Orman Araştırmaları Dergisi Vol.9 Issue 2, pp.1-9

Belge Tipi: Makale

Yayın Tarihi: 1/2024

Belge Dili: Türkçe

Document ID (Org No.): 2001298336

pISSN: 1309-856X

Sayı

Yazarlar:

İlyas Bolat | Hüseyin Şensoy

Yayıncı:

Cankiri Karatekin University

Ana Başlıklar:

Orman Ekosistemleri | Ormancılık (Diğer)

Dergi:

Anadolu Orman Araştırmaları Dergisi Vol.9 Issue 2, pp.1-9

Belge Tipi:

Makale

Yayın Tarihi:

1/2024

Belge Dili:

Türkçe

Document ID (Org No.):

2001298336

pISSN:

1309-856X