Theoretical and empirical analysis of the relationship between foreign trade and employment in Türkiye

Arif Selim Eren

Makale detayları

Theoretical and empirical analysis of the relationship between foreign trade and employment in Türkiye

Yazarlar:

Arif Selim Eren

Yayıncı:

Hatay Mustafa Kemal University

Ana Başlıklar:

Finans ve Yatırım (Diğer)

Dergi:

Journal of Politics Economy and Management Vol.8 Issue 1, pp.1-15

Belge Tipi:

Makale

Yayın Tarihi:

6/2025

Belge Dili:

Türkçe

Document ID (Org No.):

2001353052

pISSN:

2630-5933

Anahtar kelimeler:

Özet:

 With globalisation, the development of foreign trade plays an important role in terms of economic growth and employment generation. Foreign trade, especially by increasing exports, increases the production capacity of all countries, whether developed or developing, and paves the way for the creation of new employment areas. In this context, this study examines the relationship between foreign trade and employment using the data set for the period 1991-2023 for the Turkish economy. The stationarity properties of the variables were determined by unit root tests and then Johansen cointegration analysis was performed to determine the long-run relationships between the variables. The findings revealed that there is a long-term relationship between the variables. In addition, FMOLS method was used for long-run coefficient estimates and the results of this analysis revealed that exports have a positive effect on employment, while imports have a negative effect on employment. The study emphasises the relationship between foreign trade and employment theoretically and empirically. The relationship between foreign trade and employment in Turkey is of a critical importance in achieving sustainable economic growth and development targets. The development and increase of foreign trade can affect not only economic growth but also employment creation potential.

 With globalisation, the development of foreign trade plays an important role in terms of economic growth and employment generation. Foreign trade, especially by increasing exports, increases the production capacity of all countries, whether developed or developing, and paves the way for the creation of new employment areas. In this context, this study examines the relationship between foreign trade and employment using the data set for the period 1991-2023 for the Turkish economy. The stationarity properties of the variables were determined by unit root tests and then Johansen cointegration analysis was performed to determine the long-run relationships between the variables. The findings revealed that there is a long-term relationship between the variables. In addition, FMOLS method was used for long-run coefficient estimates and the results of this analysis revealed that exports have a positive effect on employment, while imports have a negative effect on employment. The study emphasises the relationship between foreign trade and employment theoretically and empirically. The relationship between foreign trade and employment in Turkey is of a critical importance in achieving sustainable economic growth and development targets. The development and increase of foreign trade can affect not only economic growth but also employment creation potential.

 With globalisation, the development of foreign trade plays an important role in terms of economic growth and employment generation. Foreign trade, especially by increasing exports, increases the production capacity of all countries, whether developed or developing, and paves the way for the creation of new employment areas. In this context, this study examines the relationship between foreign trade and employment using the data set for the period 1991-2023 for the Turkish economy. The stationarity properties of the variables were determined by unit root tests and then Johansen cointegration analysis was performed to determine the long-run relationships between the variables. The findings revealed that there is a long-term relationship between the variables. In addition, FMOLS method was used for long-run coefficient estimates and the results of this analysis revealed that exports have a positive effect on employment, while imports have a negative effect on employment. The study emphasises the relationship between foreign trade and employment theoretically and empirically. The relationship between foreign trade and employment in Turkey is of a critical importance in achieving sustainable economic growth and development targets. The development and increase of foreign trade can affect not only economic growth but also employment creation potential.

 Küreselleşme ile birlikte dış ticaretin gelişimi, ekonomik büyüme ve istihdam oluşturma açısından önemli bir rol üstlenmektedir. Dış ticaret özellikle ihracatın artırılması yoluyla ister gelişmiş ister gelişmekte olan ülke olsun bütün ülkelerin üretim kapasitesinin artmasını sağlamakta ve yeni istihdam alanlarının oluşmasına zemin hazırlamaktadır. Bu kapsamda bu çalışmada Türkiye ekonomisi için 1991-2023 dönemi veri seti kullanılarak dış ticaret ve istihdam arasındaki ilişki ele alınmıştır. Değişkenlerin durağanlık özellikleri birim kök testleri ile tespit edilmiş ve ardından değişkenler arasında uzun dönemli ilişkileri belirlemek için Johansen eş bütünleşme analizi yapılmıştır. Elde edilen bulgularda değişkenler arasında uzun dönemli bir ilişkinin varlığı belirlenmiştir. Buna ek olarak uzun dönem katsayı tahminleri için FMOLS yöntemi kullanılmış ve bu analiz sonuçları, ihracatın istihdamı pozitif yönde etkilediğini, ithalatın ise istihdam üzerinde negatif bir etkiye sahip olduğunu ortaya koymuştur. Çalışma dış ticaret ve istihdam arasındaki ilişkiyi teorik ve ampirik olarak vurgulamaktadır. Türkiyede dış ticaret ile istihdam arasındaki ilişki, sürdürülebilir ekonomik büyüme ve kalkınma hedeflerine ulaşmada kritik bir öneme sahiptir. Dış ticaretin geliştirilmesi, artırılması sadece iktisadi büyüme için değil aynı zamanda istihdam yaratma potansiyelini de etkileyebilmektedir.

Makale detayları

Theoretical and empirical analysis of the relationship between foreign trade and employment in Türkiye

Yazarlar:

Arif Selim Eren

Yayıncı:

Hatay Mustafa Kemal University

Ana Başlıklar:

Finans ve Yatırım (Diğer)

Dergi:

Journal of Politics Economy and Management Vol.8 Issue 1, pp.1-15

Belge Tipi:

Makale

Yayın Tarihi:

6/2025

Belge Dili:

Türkçe

Document ID (Org No.):

2001353052

pISSN:

2630-5933

Employment

foreign trade

time series analysisİstihdam

dış ticaret

zaman serileri analizi

Sayı

Makale detayları

Theoretical and empirical analysis of the relationship between foreign trade and employment in Türkiye

Yazarlar: Arif Selim Eren

Yayıncı: Hatay Mustafa Kemal University

Ana Başlıklar: Finans ve Yatırım (Diğer)

Dergi: Journal of Politics Economy and Management Vol.8 Issue 1, pp.1-15

Belge Tipi: Makale

Yayın Tarihi: 6/2025

Belge Dili: Türkçe

Document ID (Org No.): 2001353052

pISSN: 2630-5933

Employment

foreign trade

time series analysisİstihdam

dış ticaret

zaman serileri analizi

Sayı

Yazarlar:

Arif Selim Eren

Yayıncı:

Hatay Mustafa Kemal University

Ana Başlıklar:

Finans ve Yatırım (Diğer)

Dergi:

Journal of Politics Economy and Management Vol.8 Issue 1, pp.1-15

Belge Tipi:

Makale

Yayın Tarihi:

6/2025

Belge Dili:

Türkçe

Document ID (Org No.):

2001353052

pISSN:

2630-5933