Spatiotemporal forest and land cover change in Türkiye: The role of economic factors in driving environmental transformations

Gökhan Şen; Emre Aktürk

Makale detayları

Spatiotemporal forest and land cover change in Türkiye: The role of economic factors in driving environmental transformations

Yazarlar:

Gökhan Şen | Emre Aktürk

Yayıncı:

Isparta University of Applied Sciences

Ana Başlıklar:

Ormancılık Politikası | Ekonomisi ve Hukuku

Dergi:

Turkish Journal of Forestry Vol.25 Issue 2, pp.176-189

Belge Tipi:

Makale

Yayın Tarihi:

6/2024

Belge Dili:

İngilizce

Document ID (Org No.):

2001317861

pISSN:

2149-3898

Anahtar kelimeler:

Özet:

 Industrial advancements, urbanization, climate change, economic developments, and numerous other factors significantly influence land use preferences, subsequently causing changes in land cover. However, these changes are not homogeneus at the country scale. In this study, we aim to determine the total and provincial-based land cover changes in Türkiye between 2006 and 2018 and the impacts of macroeconomic variables on these changes. The land cover status for 2006 and 2018 and the changes occurring during this period were determined according to the Coordination of Information on the Environment CORINE system. For this purpose, five land cover classes were used. Correlation analysis was utilized to identify relationships between macroeconomic variables and cover changes and regression analysis was used to develop models aiming to predict future changes in land cover based on macroeconomic variables. Research findings indicate that 5.31 of forest areas, 2.9 of agricultural areas, and 7.19 of shrub andor herbaceous vegetation associations have been converted to other uses. During this period, forest cover increased in 38 provinces in Türkiye, decreased in 41 provinces, and remained unchanged in two provinces. The province with the highest percentage increase in forest areas was Iğdır, at 19.98, while the province with the most significant percentage decrease in forest areas was Ordu, at 0.62. There was a statistically significant negative correlation between changes in forest areas and certain macroeconomic factors: gross domestic product -0.310, number of automobiles -0.308, number of motor vehicles -0.326, and the number of buildings according to the building use permit -0.287.

 Industrial advancements, urbanization, climate change, economic developments, and numerous other factors significantly influence land use preferences, subsequently causing changes in land cover. However, these changes are not homogeneus at the country scale. In this study, we aim to determine the total and provincial-based land cover changes in Türkiye between 2006 and 2018 and the impacts of macroeconomic variables on these changes. The land cover status for 2006 and 2018 and the changes occurring during this period were determined according to the Coordination of Information on the Environment CORINE system. For this purpose, five land cover classes were used. Correlation analysis was utilized to identify relationships between macroeconomic variables and cover changes and regression analysis was used to develop models aiming to predict future changes in land cover based on macroeconomic variables. Research findings indicate that 5.31 of forest areas, 2.9 of agricultural areas, and 7.19 of shrub andor herbaceous vegetation associations have been converted to other uses. During this period, forest cover increased in 38 provinces in Türkiye, decreased in 41 provinces, and remained unchanged in two provinces. The province with the highest percentage increase in forest areas was Iğdır, at 19.98, while the province with the most significant percentage decrease in forest areas was Ordu, at 0.62. There was a statistically significant negative correlation between changes in forest areas and certain macroeconomic factors: gross domestic product -0.310, number of automobiles -0.308, number of motor vehicles -0.326, and the number of buildings according to the building use permit -0.287.

 Industrial advancements, urbanization, climate change, economic developments, and numerous other factors significantly influence land use preferences, subsequently causing changes in land cover. However, these changes are not homogeneus at the country scale. In this study, we aim to determine the total and provincial-based land cover changes in Türkiye between 2006 and 2018 and the impacts of macroeconomic variables on these changes. The land cover status for 2006 and 2018 and the changes occurring during this period were determined according to the Coordination of Information on the Environment CORINE system. For this purpose, five land cover classes were used. Correlation analysis was utilized to identify relationships between macroeconomic variables and cover changes and regression analysis was used to develop models aiming to predict future changes in land cover based on macroeconomic variables. Research findings indicate that 5.31 of forest areas, 2.9 of agricultural areas, and 7.19 of shrub andor herbaceous vegetation associations have been converted to other uses. During this period, forest cover increased in 38 provinces in Türkiye, decreased in 41 provinces, and remained unchanged in two provinces. The province with the highest percentage increase in forest areas was Iğdır, at 19.98, while the province with the most significant percentage decrease in forest areas was Ordu, at 0.62. There was a statistically significant negative correlation between changes in forest areas and certain macroeconomic factors: gross domestic product -0.310, number of automobiles -0.308, number of motor vehicles -0.326, and the number of buildings according to the building use permit -0.287.

 Endüstriyel gelişmeler, kentleşme, iklim değişikliği, ekonomik gelişmeler ve diğer birçok faktör arazi kullanım tercihlerini önemli ölçüde etkileyerek arazi örtüsünde değişikliklere neden olmaktadır. Ancak bu değişimler ülke ölçeğinde homojen değildir. Bu çalışmada, Türkiyede 2006-2018 yılları arasında toplam ve il bazında arazi örtüsü değişimlerinin ve makroekonomik değişkenlerin bu değişimler üzerindeki etkilerinin belirlenmesi amaçlanmaktadır. 2006-2018 yıllarına ait arazi örtüsü durumu ve bu dönemde meydana gelen değişimler Çevresel Bilginin Koordinasyonu CORINE sistemine göre belirlenmiştir. Bu amaçla beş arazi örtüsü sınıfı kullanılmıştır. Makroekonomik değişkenler ve örtü değişiklikleri arasındaki ilişkileri belirlemek için korelasyon analizi ve makroekonomik değişkenlere dayalı olarak arazi örtüsünde gelecekteki değişiklikleri tahmin etmeyi amaçlayan modeller geliştirmek için regresyon analizi kullanılmıştır. Araştırma bulguları, orman alanlarının 5,31inin, tarım alanlarının 2,9unun ve çalı veveya otsu bitki birliklerinin 7,19unun diğer kullanımlara dönüştürüldüğünü göstermektedir. Bu dönemde Türkiyede 38 ilde orman alanları artmış, 41 ilde azalmış, 2 ilde ise değişmemiştir. Orman alanlarının yüzde olarak en fazla arttığı il 19,98 ile Iğdır, en fazla azaldığı il ise 0,62 ile Ordu olmuştur. Orman alanlarındaki değişim ile gayrisafi yurtiçi hasıla -0,310, otomobil sayısı -0,308, motorlu taşıt sayısı -0,326 ve yapı kullanım iznine göre bina sayısı -0,287 arasında istatistiksel olarak anlamlı bir negatif korelasyon belirlenmiştir.

Makale detayları

Spatiotemporal forest and land cover change in Türkiye: The role of economic factors in driving environmental transformations

Yazarlar:

Gökhan Şen | Emre Aktürk

Yayıncı:

Isparta University of Applied Sciences

Ana Başlıklar:

Ormancılık Politikası | Ekonomisi ve Hukuku

Dergi:

Turkish Journal of Forestry Vol.25 Issue 2, pp.176-189

Belge Tipi:

Makale

Yayın Tarihi:

6/2024

Belge Dili:

İngilizce

Document ID (Org No.):

2001317861

pISSN:

2149-3898

Land use

Macroeconomic factors

CORINE

TürkiyeArazi kullanımı

Makro-ekonomik faktörler

CORINE

Türkiye

Sayı

Makale detayları

Yazarlar: Gökhan Şen | Emre Aktürk

Yayıncı: Isparta University of Applied Sciences

Ana Başlıklar: Ormancılık Politikası | Ekonomisi ve Hukuku

Dergi: Turkish Journal of Forestry Vol.25 Issue 2, pp.176-189

Belge Tipi: Makale

Yayın Tarihi: 6/2024

Belge Dili: İngilizce

Document ID (Org No.): 2001317861

pISSN: 2149-3898

Sayı

Yazarlar:

Gökhan Şen | Emre Aktürk

Yayıncı:

Isparta University of Applied Sciences

Ana Başlıklar:

Ormancılık Politikası | Ekonomisi ve Hukuku

Dergi:

Turkish Journal of Forestry Vol.25 Issue 2, pp.176-189

Belge Tipi:

Makale

Yayın Tarihi:

6/2024

Belge Dili:

İngilizce

Document ID (Org No.):

2001317861

pISSN:

2149-3898