Effect of Pandemic on Long Term Unemployment in Türkiye

Serdar Acun

Makale detayları

Effect of Pandemic on Long Term Unemployment in Türkiye

Yazarlar:

Serdar Acun

Yayıncı:

Ahmet Arif EREN

Ana Başlıklar:

Çalışma Ekonomisi

Dergi:

Politik Ekonomik Kuram Vol.9 Issue 3, pp.1017-1025

Belge Tipi:

Makale

Yayın Tarihi:

9/2025

Belge Dili:

Türkçe

Document ID (Org No.):

2001358188

pISSN:

2587-2567

Anahtar kelimeler:

Özet:

 The COVID-19 pandemic has caused major changes in the global labour market. During the pandemic, unemployment increased while employment decreased, with working hours in 2020 losing the equivalent of 255 million full-time jobs compared to the last quarter of 2019. This loss is four times the magnitude of the 2008 global financial crisis. Job search times have lengthened, and long-term unemployment rates have risen significantly. In Turkey, long-term unemployed accounted for 23 percent of the total unemployed in 2019, while this rate reached 31 percent by the end of 2022. This study analyses the determinants of long-term unemployment before and after the pandemic. In the logistic regression analysis based on 2019-2023 data, long-term unemployment is used as the dependent variable, and factors such as gender, age, education, and work experience are used as independent variables. The mismatch between the quality of labour supply and the quality of labour demand, which is one of the most important problems of the Turkish labour market, is also observed in this study. The educated population is more likely to be in long-term unemployment. The problem of the Turkish labour market in creating jobs for women is also revealed in this study, and it is found that women are more likely to be in long-term unemployment than men.

 The COVID-19 pandemic has caused major changes in the global labour market. During the pandemic, unemployment increased while employment decreased, with working hours in 2020 losing the equivalent of 255 million full-time jobs compared to the last quarter of 2019. This loss is four times the magnitude of the 2008 global financial crisis. Job search times have lengthened, and long-term unemployment rates have risen significantly. In Turkey, long-term unemployed accounted for 23 percent of the total unemployed in 2019, while this rate reached 31 percent by the end of 2022. This study analyses the determinants of long-term unemployment before and after the pandemic. In the logistic regression analysis based on 2019-2023 data, long-term unemployment is used as the dependent variable, and factors such as gender, age, education, and work experience are used as independent variables. The mismatch between the quality of labour supply and the quality of labour demand, which is one of the most important problems of the Turkish labour market, is also observed in this study. The educated population is more likely to be in long-term unemployment. The problem of the Turkish labour market in creating jobs for women is also revealed in this study, and it is found that women are more likely to be in long-term unemployment than men.

 The COVID-19 pandemic has caused major changes in the global labour market. During the pandemic, unemployment increased while employment decreased, with working hours in 2020 losing the equivalent of 255 million full-time jobs compared to the last quarter of 2019. This loss is four times the magnitude of the 2008 global financial crisis. Job search times have lengthened, and long-term unemployment rates have risen significantly. In Turkey, long-term unemployed accounted for 23 percent of the total unemployed in 2019, while this rate reached 31 percent by the end of 2022. This study analyses the determinants of long-term unemployment before and after the pandemic. In the logistic regression analysis based on 2019-2023 data, long-term unemployment is used as the dependent variable, and factors such as gender, age, education, and work experience are used as independent variables. The mismatch between the quality of labour supply and the quality of labour demand, which is one of the most important problems of the Turkish labour market, is also observed in this study. The educated population is more likely to be in long-term unemployment. The problem of the Turkish labour market in creating jobs for women is also revealed in this study, and it is found that women are more likely to be in long-term unemployment than men.

 COVID-19 salgını, küresel iş gücü piyasasında büyük değişimlere neden olmuştur. Salgın döneminde işsizlik artarken istihdam azalmış, 2020 yılında çalışma süreleri 2019un son çeyreğine kıyasla 255 milyon tam zamanlı işe eşdeğer bir kayıp yaşamıştır. Bu kayıp, 2008 küresel finansal krizindekinin dört katı büyüklüğündedir. İş arama süreleri uzamış ve uzun dönemli işsizlik oranları ciddi oranda yükselmiştir. Türkiyede 2019 yılında uzun dönemli işsizler toplam işsizlerin 23ünü oluştururken, bu oran 2022 sonunda 31e ulaşmıştır. Bu çalışmada, salgın öncesi ve sonrası uzun dönemli işsizliğin belirleyicileri incelenmiştir. 2019-2023 verilerine dayalı lojistik regresyon analizinde bağımlı değişken olarak uzun dönemli işsizlik; bağımsız değişkenler olarak cinsiyet, yaş, eğitim, iş deneyimi gibi faktörler kullanılmıştır. Türkiye emek piyasasının en önemli sorunlarından biri olan emek arzının niteliğiyle emek talebinin niteliği arasındaki uyuşmazlık bu çalışmada da görülmüştür. Eğitimli nüfusun uzun dönemli işsizlikte olma olasılığı daha fazladır. Türkiye emek piyasasının kadına iş yaratmadaki sıkıntısı bu çalışmada da ortaya çıkmış ve kadınların uzun dönemli işsizlikte olma olasılığı erkeklere göre daha fazla olduğu bulunmuştur.

Makale detayları

Effect of Pandemic on Long Term Unemployment in Türkiye

Yazarlar:

Serdar Acun

Yayıncı:

Ahmet Arif EREN

Ana Başlıklar:

Çalışma Ekonomisi

Dergi:

Politik Ekonomik Kuram Vol.9 Issue 3, pp.1017-1025

Belge Tipi:

Makale

Yayın Tarihi:

9/2025

Belge Dili:

Türkçe

Document ID (Org No.):

2001358188

pISSN:

2587-2567

Unemployment

employment

pandemicİşsizlik

İstihdam

Salgın

Sayı

Makale detayları

Effect of Pandemic on Long Term Unemployment in Türkiye

Yazarlar: Serdar Acun

Yayıncı: Ahmet Arif EREN

Ana Başlıklar: Çalışma Ekonomisi

Dergi: Politik Ekonomik Kuram Vol.9 Issue 3, pp.1017-1025

Belge Tipi: Makale

Yayın Tarihi: 9/2025

Belge Dili: Türkçe

Document ID (Org No.): 2001358188

pISSN: 2587-2567

Unemployment

employment

pandemicİşsizlik

İstihdam

Salgın

Sayı

Yazarlar:

Serdar Acun

Yayıncı:

Ahmet Arif EREN

Ana Başlıklar:

Çalışma Ekonomisi

Dergi:

Politik Ekonomik Kuram Vol.9 Issue 3, pp.1017-1025

Belge Tipi:

Makale

Yayın Tarihi:

9/2025

Belge Dili:

Türkçe

Document ID (Org No.):

2001358188

pISSN:

2587-2567