Developing Financial Forecast Modeling With Deep Learning On Silver/Ons Parity

Adem ÜNTEZ; Mümtaz İPEK

doi:https://doi.org/10.28979/jarnas.979429

Makale detayları

Developing Financial Forecast Modeling With Deep Learning On Silver/Ons Parity

Yazarlar:

Adem ÜNTEZ | Mümtaz İPEK

Yayıncı:

Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart University

Ana Başlıklar:

Veri işleme & bilgisayar bilimi

Dergi:

Journal of Advanced Research in Natural and Applied Sciences 2022 Vol.8 Issue 1, pp.35-44

Belge Tipi:

Makale

Yayın Tarihi:

3/2022

Belge Dili:

İngilizce

Document ID (Org No.):

2000488251

Sıklık:

Aylık

eISSN:

2757-5195

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.28979/jarnas.979429

Özet:

 

In this study, financial prediction models have been developed over the silver / ounce parity using deep learning architectures. LSTM and ARIMA architectures, which are deep learning algorithms, are used. By loading the train-ing and test data into the established algorithms, the system was learned and a graphical estimation was requested on the silver / ounce parity for the next 10 days.
Written algorithms can produce different results each time they are run. However, in the graphs we have taken as an example, the graph created with the ARIMA architecture has produced a more realistic result by specifying a range and making an upward forecast. The prediction chart we obtained with the LSTM architecture did not create a much decrease or upward forecast. However, as a feature of the LSTM algorithm, it clearly predicted the daily closing values, and did not specify an estimation as a range and direction as in the study with the ARIMA architec-ture. It should not be forgotten that these algorithms are dynamic and can give different results in predictions even when they are run with the same data.
According to the results obtained in the research, although the LSTM architecture clearly stated the daily closing values as numbers, the estimation study made with the ARIMA architecture produced a result closer to the graph in terms of both interval and direction.

Makale detayları

Developing Financial Forecast Modeling With Deep Learning On Silver/Ons Parity

Yazarlar: Adem ÜNTEZ | Mümtaz İPEK

Yayıncı: Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart University

Ana Başlıklar: Veri işleme & bilgisayar bilimi

Dergi: Journal of Advanced Research in Natural and Applied Sciences 2022 Vol.8 Issue 1, pp.35-44

Belge Tipi: Makale

Yayın Tarihi: 3/2022

Belge Dili: İngilizce

Document ID (Org No.): 2000488251

Sıklık: Aylık

eISSN: 2757-5195

DOI: https://doi.org/10.28979/jarnas.979429

Sayı

Yazarlar:

Adem ÜNTEZ | Mümtaz İPEK

Yayıncı:

Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart University

Ana Başlıklar:

Veri işleme & bilgisayar bilimi

Dergi:

Journal of Advanced Research in Natural and Applied Sciences 2022 Vol.8 Issue 1, pp.35-44

Belge Tipi:

Makale

Yayın Tarihi:

3/2022

Belge Dili:

İngilizce

Document ID (Org No.):

2000488251

Sıklık:

Aylık

eISSN:

2757-5195

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.28979/jarnas.979429