İŞSİZLİK, SUÇ, BOŞANMA, İNTİHAR ORANLARI İLE İKTİSADİ BÜYÜME İLİŞKİSİNİN; NEDENSELLİK TESTLERİ İLE ANALİZİ: TÜRKİYE ÖRNEĞİ

Levent AKSU

Makale detayları

İŞSİZLİK, SUÇ, BOŞANMA, İNTİHAR ORANLARI İLE İKTİSADİ BÜYÜME İLİŞKİSİNİN; NEDENSELLİK TESTLERİ İLE ANALİZİ: TÜRKİYE ÖRNEĞİ

Yazarlar:

Levent AKSU

Yayıncı:

Istanbul University

Ana Başlıklar:

Sosyoloji & antropoloji

Dergi:

Journal of Economic Policy Researches 2018 Vol.5 Issue 2, pp.58-100

Belge Tipi:

Makale

Yayın Tarihi:

7/2018

Belge Dili:

Türkçe

Document ID (Org No.):

2000486326

Sıklık:

İki Yıllık

eISSN:

2148-3876

Özet:

 


In this study, the relationship between unemployment and other negative externalities and economic growth relation has been examined. Data covering the years 1980-2015 have been used. In the study covering this period, the interactions of unemployment, crime, divorce, suicide and changes in GNP were analyzed by unit root tests and causality tests. In econometric analysis, short and long-lasting causality relationship such as economic growth and unemployment, crime, divorce, suicide, GNP and employment was sought. Granger causality test and Toda-Yamamoto (MWALD) causality tests were used. Short and long term relationships are examined in Granger causality tests and MWALD causality tests. While Granger causality tests allow for "Short-term" causality analysis, Toda-Yamamoto (MWALD) causality tests allow for "Long-term" causality analysis.Both causality test has been reached similar conclusions. The effect of unemployment on crime is in the positive direction. The increase in unemployment triggers suicide, the relationship between them is positive. There is a causal relationship between suicide and unemployment. There is a mutual causal relationship between crime and unemployment. There is a one-way causality relationship from unemployment to divorce. Between unemployment and crime there is a serious bilateral causal relationship. There is also a bi-directional causality relationship between unemployment and GNP. ARDL Test was performed on variables. According to this test, a negative relationship between unemployment and crime rates in the long term was found. Unemployment has been identified as having a positive impact on suicide and divorce.Unemployment has identified a positive relationship between suicide and divorce. In addition, the unemployment caused by the very important tasks of the state and society to overcome these problems is reduced. There is a need for policies to reduce unemployment. Requires the removal of taxes on employment. There is a need to improve the quality of human capital and education. Besides, the need to have an efficient production structure.That the state must personally enter into the real production and whether there is a need to broaden the public economic sector.

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Makale detayları

İŞSİZLİK, SUÇ, BOŞANMA, İNTİHAR ORANLARI İLE İKTİSADİ BÜYÜME İLİŞKİSİNİN; NEDENSELLİK TESTLERİ İLE ANALİZİ: TÜRKİYE ÖRNEĞİ

Yazarlar: Levent AKSU

Yayıncı: Istanbul University

Ana Başlıklar: Sosyoloji & antropoloji

Dergi: Journal of Economic Policy Researches 2018 Vol.5 Issue 2, pp.58-100

Belge Tipi: Makale

Yayın Tarihi: 7/2018

Belge Dili: Türkçe

Document ID (Org No.): 2000486326

Sıklık: İki Yıllık

eISSN: 2148-3876

Sayı

Yazarlar:

Levent AKSU

Yayıncı:

Istanbul University

Ana Başlıklar:

Sosyoloji & antropoloji

Dergi:

Journal of Economic Policy Researches 2018 Vol.5 Issue 2, pp.58-100

Belge Tipi:

Makale

Yayın Tarihi:

7/2018

Belge Dili:

Türkçe

Document ID (Org No.):

2000486326

Sıklık:

İki Yıllık

eISSN:

2148-3876