Transformation of Moscow's 'Nagorno-Karabakh' Policy

Uğur Deniz Yaşayan

Makale detayları

Transformation of Moscow's 'Nagorno-Karabakh' Policy

Yazarlar:

Uğur Deniz Yaşayan

Yayıncı:

Hakan YILMAZ

Ana Başlıklar:

Siyaset Bilimi (Diğer)

Dergi:

Akademik Tarih ve Düşünce Dergisi Vol.10 Issue 6, pp.2790-2811

Belge Tipi:

Makale

Yayın Tarihi:

1/2024

Belge Dili:

Türkçe

Document ID (Org No.):

2001304219

pISSN:

2148-2292

Anahtar kelimeler:

Özet:

 In the Nagorno-Karabakh region of the South Caucasus, which is defined as the Balkans of Eurasia, the Russians have protected their interests within their sphere of influence by supporting Orthodox Armenians on the basis of population engineering since the 18th century. Following the Bolshevik Revolution, Moscow has maintained its superiority, sometimes favouring Yerevan and sometimes Baku, with these policies that have changed formally after the Bolshevik Revolution. The dissolution of the USSR created a vacuum in the region, which was seen as a backyard, and this vacuum was intended to be filled by Western powers, particularly the US and the EU. However, the change of power in Baku with Turkist tendencies removed the threat of a Turkic corridor from the Caspian Sea to Kazakhstan and from there to Kyrgyzstan for Moscow, and the subsequent Putins takeover of the reins and the recovery of the economy created a plane where internal security started from the CIS borders. In addition, Armenias aggression, which often puts the Russians in a difficult position, its flirtatious relations with the West, which seeks to increase its influence in the region, as well as Azerbaijans stable energy-oriented economy and rational relations with it, led Moscow to change its Nagorno-Karabakh policy in favour of Baku. Tactical victories in 2016 and 2020, coupled with an increasingly negative view of Yerevan, led to the inevitable strategic victory in 2023, when the so-called Artsakh was abolished.

 In the Nagorno-Karabakh region of the South Caucasus, which is defined as the Balkans of Eurasia, the Russians have protected their interests within their sphere of influence by supporting Orthodox Armenians on the basis of population engineering since the 18th century. Following the Bolshevik Revolution, Moscow has maintained its superiority, sometimes favouring Yerevan and sometimes Baku, with these policies that have changed formally after the Bolshevik Revolution. The dissolution of the USSR created a vacuum in the region, which was seen as a backyard, and this vacuum was intended to be filled by Western powers, particularly the US and the EU. However, the change of power in Baku with Turkist tendencies removed the threat of a Turkic corridor from the Caspian Sea to Kazakhstan and from there to Kyrgyzstan for Moscow, and the subsequent Putins takeover of the reins and the recovery of the economy created a plane where internal security started from the CIS borders. In addition, Armenias aggression, which often puts the Russians in a difficult position, its flirtatious relations with the West, which seeks to increase its influence in the region, as well as Azerbaijans stable energy-oriented economy and rational relations with it, led Moscow to change its Nagorno-Karabakh policy in favour of Baku. Tactical victories in 2016 and 2020, coupled with an increasingly negative view of Yerevan, led to the inevitable strategic victory in 2023, when the so-called Artsakh was abolished.

 In the Nagorno-Karabakh region of the South Caucasus, which is defined as the Balkans of Eurasia, the Russians have protected their interests within their sphere of influence by supporting Orthodox Armenians on the basis of population engineering since the 18th century. Following the Bolshevik Revolution, Moscow has maintained its superiority, sometimes favouring Yerevan and sometimes Baku, with these policies that have changed formally after the Bolshevik Revolution. The dissolution of the USSR created a vacuum in the region, which was seen as a backyard, and this vacuum was intended to be filled by Western powers, particularly the US and the EU. However, the change of power in Baku with Turkist tendencies removed the threat of a Turkic corridor from the Caspian Sea to Kazakhstan and from there to Kyrgyzstan for Moscow, and the subsequent Putins takeover of the reins and the recovery of the economy created a plane where internal security started from the CIS borders. In addition, Armenias aggression, which often puts the Russians in a difficult position, its flirtatious relations with the West, which seeks to increase its influence in the region, as well as Azerbaijans stable energy-oriented economy and rational relations with it, led Moscow to change its Nagorno-Karabakh policy in favour of Baku. Tactical victories in 2016 and 2020, coupled with an increasingly negative view of Yerevan, led to the inevitable strategic victory in 2023, when the so-called Artsakh was abolished.

 Avrasyanın Balkanları olarak tanımlanan Güney Kafkasyanın Dağlık Karabağ bölgesinde Ruslar, XVIII. yüzyıldan beri ağırlıklı olarak Ortodoks Ermenilere nüfus mühendisliği temelinde destek vererek kendi etki alanı içerisinde çıkarlarını korumuştur. Bolşevik Devriminin ardından biçimsel olarak değişmiş bu politikalarla Moskova, bazen Erivandan bazen Baküden taraf olarak üstünlüğünü korumuştur. SSCBnin çözülüşü, arka bahçe olarak görülen bölgede bir boşluk oluşturmuş, bu da başta ABD ve AB olmak üzere Batılı güçlerce doldurulmak istenmiştir. Bununla birlikte Baküdeki Türkçü eğilimli iktidarın değişimi, Moskova için Hazar Denizinden Kazakistana ve oradan Kırgızistana kadar uzanacak bir Türk koridoru oluşturulması tehlikesini ortadan kaldırmış, akabinde Putinin dizginleri ele alışı ve ekonominin toparlanması da iç güvenliğin BDT sınırlarından başladığı bir düzlem oluşturmuştur. Buna ek olarak Ermenistanın Rusları sık sık zor duruma sokan saldırganlığı, bölgede nüfuzunu artırma çabasındaki Batılılarla kurduğu flörtöz ilişkiler ve bununla birlikte Azerbaycannın enerji odaklı istikrarlı ekonomisi ve kendisiyle kurduğu rasyonel ilişkiler, Moskovanın Dağlık Karabağ politikasını Bakü lehine değiştirmesine sebep olmuştur. 2016 ve 2020de kazanılan taktiksel zaferler, Erivana karşı artan olumsuz bakışla birleşince sözde Artsahın ilga edildiği 2023teki stratejik zafer kaçınılmaz olmuştur.

Makale detayları

Transformation of Moscow's 'Nagorno-Karabakh' Policy

Yazarlar:

Uğur Deniz Yaşayan

Yayıncı:

Hakan YILMAZ

Ana Başlıklar:

Siyaset Bilimi (Diğer)

Dergi:

Akademik Tarih ve Düşünce Dergisi Vol.10 Issue 6, pp.2790-2811

Belge Tipi:

Makale

Yayın Tarihi:

1/2024

Belge Dili:

Türkçe

Document ID (Org No.):

2001304219

pISSN:

2148-2292

Tsarism

USSR

Russia

Nagorno-Karabakh

Azerbaijan

Armenia

Commonwealth of Independent StatesÇarlık

SSCB

Rusya

Dağlık Karabağ

Azerbaycan

Ermenistan

Bağımsız Devletler Topluluğu

Sayı

Makale detayları

Yazarlar: Uğur Deniz Yaşayan

Yayıncı: Hakan YILMAZ

Ana Başlıklar: Siyaset Bilimi (Diğer)

Dergi: Akademik Tarih ve Düşünce Dergisi Vol.10 Issue 6, pp.2790-2811

Belge Tipi: Makale

Yayın Tarihi: 1/2024

Belge Dili: Türkçe

Document ID (Org No.): 2001304219

pISSN: 2148-2292

Sayı

Yazarlar:

Uğur Deniz Yaşayan

Yayıncı:

Hakan YILMAZ

Ana Başlıklar:

Siyaset Bilimi (Diğer)

Dergi:

Akademik Tarih ve Düşünce Dergisi Vol.10 Issue 6, pp.2790-2811

Belge Tipi:

Makale

Yayın Tarihi:

1/2024

Belge Dili:

Türkçe

Document ID (Org No.):

2001304219

pISSN:

2148-2292