LIFE EXPECTATION AT BIRTH AND ECONOMIC GROWTH: WAVELET TRANSFORMED FOURIER QUANTILE TODA-YAMAMOTO CAUSATION TEST

Onur Yağış

Makale detayları

LIFE EXPECTATION AT BIRTH AND ECONOMIC GROWTH: WAVELET TRANSFORMED FOURIER QUANTILE TODA-YAMAMOTO CAUSATION TEST

Yazarlar:

Onur Yağış

Yayıncı:

Trakya University

Ana Başlıklar:

Büyüme

Dergi:

Trakya Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi Vol.26 Issue 2, pp.389-410

Belge Tipi:

Makale

Yayın Tarihi:

12/2024

Belge Dili:

Türkçe

Document ID (Org No.):

2001332791

pISSN:

1305-7766

Anahtar kelimeler:

Özet:

 Life expectancy at birth is expressed as the average number of years that a newly born individual is expected to live according to existing health conditions throughout his life. This period is one of the most important indicators of the welfare and health level of societies. Life expectancy and birth rate are important demographic determinants that affect human capital and economic growth performance. Policies to reduce the birth rate have been implemented in Türkiye from the first development plan to the tenth development plan. In this way, it is aimed to reduce the population growth rate and increase economic performance. When the literature is searched, it is seen that although the subject has an important position, there are not enough studies investigating the relationships between life expectancy and economic and other variables. In this study, it is aimed to investigate the relationship between life expectancy at birth and economic growth with annual data for the period 1961-2021 for Türkiye, using the wavelet transform Fourier Quantile Toda-Yamamoto Causality technique. As a result of the research, after the wavelet transformation, causality was found from the birth rate to life expectancy at birth according to the original series. Bidirectional causality was found, from economic growth to life expectancy at birth and from life expectancy at birth to economic growth. A bidirectional causality was found in the short term, from urbanization to life expectancy at birth and from life expectancy at birth to urbanization. In the middle term, causality was found from birth rate to life expectancy at birth. Bidirectional causality was found, from economic growth to life expectancy at birth and from life expectancy at birth to economic growth. In the long run, bidirectional causality was found, from birth rate to life expectancy at birth and from life expectancy at birth to birth rate. Causality was found from life expectancy at birth to economic growth and urbanization.

 Life expectancy at birth is expressed as the average number of years that a newly born individual is expected to live according to existing health conditions throughout his life. This period is one of the most important indicators of the welfare and health level of societies. Life expectancy and birth rate are important demographic determinants that affect human capital and economic growth performance. Policies to reduce the birth rate have been implemented in Türkiye from the first development plan to the tenth development plan. In this way, it is aimed to reduce the population growth rate and increase economic performance. When the literature is searched, it is seen that although the subject has an important position, there are not enough studies investigating the relationships between life expectancy and economic and other variables. In this study, it is aimed to investigate the relationship between life expectancy at birth and economic growth with annual data for the period 1961-2021 for Türkiye, using the wavelet transform Fourier Quantile Toda-Yamamoto Causality technique. As a result of the research, after the wavelet transformation, causality was found from the birth rate to life expectancy at birth according to the original series. Bidirectional causality was found, from economic growth to life expectancy at birth and from life expectancy at birth to economic growth. A bidirectional causality was found in the short term, from urbanization to life expectancy at birth and from life expectancy at birth to urbanization. In the middle term, causality was found from birth rate to life expectancy at birth. Bidirectional causality was found, from economic growth to life expectancy at birth and from life expectancy at birth to economic growth. In the long run, bidirectional causality was found, from birth rate to life expectancy at birth and from life expectancy at birth to birth rate. Causality was found from life expectancy at birth to economic growth and urbanization.

 Life expectancy at birth is expressed as the average number of years that a newly born individual is expected to live according to existing health conditions throughout his life. This period is one of the most important indicators of the welfare and health level of societies. Life expectancy and birth rate are important demographic determinants that affect human capital and economic growth performance. Policies to reduce the birth rate have been implemented in Türkiye from the first development plan to the tenth development plan. In this way, it is aimed to reduce the population growth rate and increase economic performance. When the literature is searched, it is seen that although the subject has an important position, there are not enough studies investigating the relationships between life expectancy and economic and other variables. In this study, it is aimed to investigate the relationship between life expectancy at birth and economic growth with annual data for the period 1961-2021 for Türkiye, using the wavelet transform Fourier Quantile Toda-Yamamoto Causality technique. As a result of the research, after the wavelet transformation, causality was found from the birth rate to life expectancy at birth according to the original series. Bidirectional causality was found, from economic growth to life expectancy at birth and from life expectancy at birth to economic growth. A bidirectional causality was found in the short term, from urbanization to life expectancy at birth and from life expectancy at birth to urbanization. In the middle term, causality was found from birth rate to life expectancy at birth. Bidirectional causality was found, from economic growth to life expectancy at birth and from life expectancy at birth to economic growth. In the long run, bidirectional causality was found, from birth rate to life expectancy at birth and from life expectancy at birth to birth rate. Causality was found from life expectancy at birth to economic growth and urbanization.

 Doğuşta beklenen yaşam süresi, doğumu yeni gerçekleşmiş bir bireyin hayatı boyunca var olan sağlık şartlarına göre yaşaması tahmin edilen ortalama yıl olarak ifade edilmektedir. Bu süre toplumların refah ve sağlık düzeyinin en önemli göstergelerinden birisidir. Yaşam beklentisi ve doğum oranı beşeri sermaye ve ekonomik büyüme performansını etkileyen önemli demografik belirleyicilerdir. Türkiyede ilk uygulanan kalkınma planından onuncu kalkınma planına kadar geçen süreye kadar doğum oranını azaltıcı politikalar uygulanmıştır. Bu sayede nüfus artış hızının düşürülmesi ve ekonomik performansın artırılması hedeflenmiştir. Literatür araştırıldığında konunun önemli bir konuma sahip olmasına rağmen yaşam beklentisi ile iktisadi ve diğer değişkenler arasındaki ilişkileri araştıran yeterli çalışmanın bulunmadığı görülmektedir. Bu çalışmada Türkiye için 1961-2021 dönemi yıllık verileri ile doğuşta beklenen yaşam süresi ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi dalgacık dönüşümlü Fourier Kantil Toda-Yamamoto Nedensellik tekniğiyle araştırılması amaçlanmıştır. Araştırma sonucunda, dalgacık dönüşümü sonrasında orijinal seriye göre doğum oranından doğuşta beklenen yaşam süresine doğru nedensellik sonucu bulunmuştur. Ekonomik büyümeden doğuşta beklenen yaşam süresine doğru ve doğuşta beklenen yaşam süresinden ekonomik büyümeye doğru çift yönlü nedensellik sonucu bulunmuştur. Kısa dönemde kentleşmeden doğuşta beklenen yaşam süresine doğru ve doğuşta beklenen yaşam süresinden kentleşmeye doğru çift yönlü nedensellik sonucu bulunmuştur. Orta dönemde doğum oranından doğuşta beklenen yaşam süresine doğru nedensellik sonucu bulunmuştur. Ekonomik büyümeden doğuşta beklenen yaşam süresine doğru ve doğuşta beklenen yaşam süresinden ekonomik büyümeye doğru çift yönlü nedensellik sonucu bulunmuştur. Uzun dönemde doğum oranından doğuşta beklenen yaşam süresine doğru ve doğuşta beklenen yaşam süresinden doğum oranına doğru çift yönlü nedensellik sonucu bulunmuştur. Doğuşta beklenen yaşam süresinden ekonomik büyümeye ve kentleşmeye doğru nedensellik sonucu bulunmuştur.

Makale detayları

LIFE EXPECTATION AT BIRTH AND ECONOMIC GROWTH: WAVELET TRANSFORMED FOURIER QUANTILE TODA-YAMAMOTO CAUSATION TEST

Yazarlar:

Onur Yağış

Yayıncı:

Trakya University

Ana Başlıklar:

Büyüme

Dergi:

Trakya Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi Vol.26 Issue 2, pp.389-410

Belge Tipi:

Makale

Yayın Tarihi:

12/2024

Belge Dili:

Türkçe

Document ID (Org No.):

2001332791

pISSN:

1305-7766

Life Expectation At Birth

Economic Growth

Wavelet Transform

Fourier Quantile Toda-Yamamoto Causality AnalysisDoğuşta Beklenen Yaşam Süresi

Ekonomik Büyüme

Dalgacık Dönüşüm

Fourier Kantil Toda-Yamamoto Nedensellik Analizi

Sayı

Makale detayları

Yazarlar: Onur Yağış

Yayıncı: Trakya University

Ana Başlıklar: Büyüme

Dergi: Trakya Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi Vol.26 Issue 2, pp.389-410

Belge Tipi: Makale

Yayın Tarihi: 12/2024

Belge Dili: Türkçe

Document ID (Org No.): 2001332791

pISSN: 1305-7766

Sayı

Yazarlar:

Onur Yağış

Yayıncı:

Trakya University

Ana Başlıklar:

Büyüme

Dergi:

Trakya Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi Vol.26 Issue 2, pp.389-410

Belge Tipi:

Makale

Yayın Tarihi:

12/2024

Belge Dili:

Türkçe

Document ID (Org No.):

2001332791

pISSN:

1305-7766