The dynamic relationship between the transportation modes used by foreign tourists and economic growth: An econometric analysis with evidence from the last 50 years of the Turkish Republic

Deniz Macit

Makale detayları

The dynamic relationship between the transportation modes used by foreign tourists and economic growth: An econometric analysis with evidence from the last 50 years of the Turkish Republic

Yazarlar:

Deniz Macit

Yayıncı:

Balıkesir University

Ana Başlıklar:

Büyüme

Dergi:

Balıkesir Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi Vol.26 Issue 49-1, pp.249-269

Belge Tipi:

Makale

Yayın Tarihi:

10/2023

Belge Dili:

İngilizce

Document ID (Org No.):

2001302810

pISSN:

1301-5265

Anahtar kelimeler:

Özet:

 This article aims to reveal the relationship between the Turkish economy and tourism, with a retrospective evaluation of the 100th anniversary of the Republic. In attempting to determine this relationship, the question is asked whether the tourism-led growth TLG hypothesis or the economy-led growth hypothesis through the expansion of tourism is valid based on the last 50 years of the republican period. The ARDL approach Autoregressive Distributed Lag investigates the interaction between variables. A cointegration relationship was found between the variables and a positive relationship between the tourists arriving by air and sea and economic growth in the long run. The Granger causality test was applied to determine the presence and direction of causality between tourists arriving in Turkey and GDP. The results show that economic growth is the Granger causality for tourist arrivals. Relating these results to the variables studied and the study period for the Turkish economy confirms the validity of the hypothesis of tourism expansion based on economic growth rather than the hypothesis of tourism-induced growth.

 This article aims to reveal the relationship between the Turkish economy and tourism, with a retrospective evaluation of the 100th anniversary of the Republic. In attempting to determine this relationship, the question is asked whether the tourism-led growth TLG hypothesis or the economy-led growth hypothesis through the expansion of tourism is valid based on the last 50 years of the republican period. The ARDL approach Autoregressive Distributed Lag investigates the interaction between variables. A cointegration relationship was found between the variables and a positive relationship between the tourists arriving by air and sea and economic growth in the long run. The Granger causality test was applied to determine the presence and direction of causality between tourists arriving in Turkey and GDP. The results show that economic growth is the Granger causality for tourist arrivals. Relating these results to the variables studied and the study period for the Turkish economy confirms the validity of the hypothesis of tourism expansion based on economic growth rather than the hypothesis of tourism-induced growth.

 This article aims to reveal the relationship between the Turkish economy and tourism, with a retrospective evaluation of the 100th anniversary of the Republic. In attempting to determine this relationship, the question is asked whether the tourism-led growth TLG hypothesis or the economy-led growth hypothesis through the expansion of tourism is valid based on the last 50 years of the republican period. The ARDL approach Autoregressive Distributed Lag investigates the interaction between variables. A cointegration relationship was found between the variables and a positive relationship between the tourists arriving by air and sea and economic growth in the long run. The Granger causality test was applied to determine the presence and direction of causality between tourists arriving in Turkey and GDP. The results show that economic growth is the Granger causality for tourist arrivals. Relating these results to the variables studied and the study period for the Turkish economy confirms the validity of the hypothesis of tourism expansion based on economic growth rather than the hypothesis of tourism-induced growth.

 Bu makalenin amacı, Cumhuriyetin 100. yıl dönümünün geriye dönük bir değerlendirmesiyle, Türkiye ekonomisinin turizmle olan ilişkisini ortaya koymaktır. Bu ilişki tespit edilmeye çalışılırken Cumhuriyet döneminin son 50 yılı temel alınarak, turizme dayalı büyüme hipotezinin TLG mi yoksa ekonomik büyümeye dayalı turizm genişlemesi hipotezinin mi geçerli olduğu sorgulanmaktadır. Gecikmesi Dağıtılmış Otoregresif Sınır Testi ARDL yaklaşımını kullanan analiz, değişkenler arasındaki ilişkiyi araştırmaktadır. Analiz bulgularına göre değişkenler arasında bir eşbütünleşme ilişkisi tespit edilmiş olup, uzun dönemde hava ve denizyoluyla gelen turist sayısı ile ekonomik büyüme arasında pozitif bir ilişki ortaya konmuştur. Türkiyeye gelen turistler ile GSYİH arasında nedenselliğin varlığını ve yönünü belirlemek amacıyla Granger nedensellik testi uygulanmıştır. Sonuçlar, ekonomik büyümenin yabancı turist gelişlerinin Granger nedeni olduğunu göstermektedir. Bu sonuçların Türkiye ekonomisi için incelenen değişkenler ve çalışma dönemi ile ilişkilendirilmesi, turizm kaynaklı büyüme hipotezinden ziyade ekonomik büyümeye dayalı turizm genişlemesi hipotezinin geçerliliğini doğrulamaktadır.

Makale detayları

The dynamic relationship between the transportation modes used by foreign tourists and economic growth: An econometric analysis with evidence from the last 50 years of the Turkish Republic

Yazarlar:

Deniz Macit

Yayıncı:

Balıkesir University

Ana Başlıklar:

Büyüme

Dergi:

Balıkesir Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi Vol.26 Issue 49-1, pp.249-269

Belge Tipi:

Makale

Yayın Tarihi:

10/2023

Belge Dili:

İngilizce

Document ID (Org No.):

2001302810

pISSN:

1301-5265

Economic-Led Growth

Tourism-Led Growth

Cointegration

Causality

ARDL Bound TestEkonomi Odaklı Büyüme

Turizm Odaklı Büyüme

Eşbütünleşme

Nedensellik

ARDL Sınır Testi

Sayı

Makale detayları

Yazarlar: Deniz Macit

Yayıncı: Balıkesir University

Ana Başlıklar: Büyüme

Dergi: Balıkesir Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi Vol.26 Issue 49-1, pp.249-269

Belge Tipi: Makale

Yayın Tarihi: 10/2023

Belge Dili: İngilizce

Document ID (Org No.): 2001302810

pISSN: 1301-5265

Sayı

Yazarlar:

Deniz Macit

Yayıncı:

Balıkesir University

Ana Başlıklar:

Büyüme

Dergi:

Balıkesir Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi Vol.26 Issue 49-1, pp.249-269

Belge Tipi:

Makale

Yayın Tarihi:

10/2023

Belge Dili:

İngilizce

Document ID (Org No.):

2001302810

pISSN:

1301-5265