Possible Changes in Temperature, Precipitation and Climate Types Due to Global Climate Change in Muş

Sevgi Karahan

Makale detayları

Possible Changes in Temperature, Precipitation and Climate Types Due to Global Climate Change in Muş

Yazarlar:

Sevgi Karahan

Yayıncı:

Kastamonu University

Ana Başlıklar:

İklim Değişikliği Etkileri ve Uyarlama (Diğer)

Dergi:

MEMBA Su Bilimleri Dergisi Vol.11 Issue 1, pp.84-95

Belge Tipi:

Makale

Yayın Tarihi:

3/2025

Belge Dili:

Türkçe

Document ID (Org No.):

2001344063

pISSN:

3062-3200

Anahtar kelimeler:

Özet:

 Global climate change is shown as the most important global problem that will cause drought in climates, especially with the increase in temperature and decrease in precipitation worldwide, and will affect all living things and ecosystems in the world. In order to determine the possible effects of this process, which creates great pressure on water resources and seems impossible to stop, it is recommended that the change in climate types should be estimated first and sectoral measures should be taken according to the development of the process. Starting from this point, the study determined the current temperature, precipitation and climate types according to De Martone and Emberger climate classification in Muş province, and tried to determine how these parameters will change in the process until 2060 and 2100 according to the SSPs 245 and SSPs585 scenarios. As a result of the study, it is predicted that there will be a significant increase in temperature in Muş province and the climate types will shift towards arid climate types. It is estimated that the effects of this change will be seen largely on plants, and the effects on agricultural, forest and pasture areas will have devastating results in the province, whose economy is largely dependent on agriculture and animal husbandry.

 Global climate change is shown as the most important global problem that will cause drought in climates, especially with the increase in temperature and decrease in precipitation worldwide, and will affect all living things and ecosystems in the world. In order to determine the possible effects of this process, which creates great pressure on water resources and seems impossible to stop, it is recommended that the change in climate types should be estimated first and sectoral measures should be taken according to the development of the process. Starting from this point, the study determined the current temperature, precipitation and climate types according to De Martone and Emberger climate classification in Muş province, and tried to determine how these parameters will change in the process until 2060 and 2100 according to the SSPs 245 and SSPs585 scenarios. As a result of the study, it is predicted that there will be a significant increase in temperature in Muş province and the climate types will shift towards arid climate types. It is estimated that the effects of this change will be seen largely on plants, and the effects on agricultural, forest and pasture areas will have devastating results in the province, whose economy is largely dependent on agriculture and animal husbandry.

 Global climate change is shown as the most important global problem that will cause drought in climates, especially with the increase in temperature and decrease in precipitation worldwide, and will affect all living things and ecosystems in the world. In order to determine the possible effects of this process, which creates great pressure on water resources and seems impossible to stop, it is recommended that the change in climate types should be estimated first and sectoral measures should be taken according to the development of the process. Starting from this point, the study determined the current temperature, precipitation and climate types according to De Martone and Emberger climate classification in Muş province, and tried to determine how these parameters will change in the process until 2060 and 2100 according to the SSPs 245 and SSPs585 scenarios. As a result of the study, it is predicted that there will be a significant increase in temperature in Muş province and the climate types will shift towards arid climate types. It is estimated that the effects of this change will be seen largely on plants, and the effects on agricultural, forest and pasture areas will have devastating results in the province, whose economy is largely dependent on agriculture and animal husbandry.

 Küresel iklim değişikliği, dünya genelinde özellikle sıcaklık artışı ve yağışlardaki azalmayla birlikte iklimlerde kuraklaşmaya sebep olacak, dünyadaki bütün canlıları ve ekosistemleri etkileyecek, geri dönüşü olmayan en önemli küresel sorun olarak gösterilmektedir. Su kaynakları üzerinde büyük baskı oluşturan ve durdurulması mümkün görülmeyen bu sürecin olası etkilerinin belirlenebilmesi için öncelikle iklim tiplerindeki değişimin tahmin edilmesi ve sürecin gelişimine göre sektörel bazda önlemler alınması önerilmektedir. Bu noktadan hareketle çalışmada Muş ili genelinde günümüzdeki sıcaklık, yağış ve iklim tiplerinin De Martone ve Emberger iklim sınıflandırmasına göre durumu belirlenmiş, SSPs 245 ve SSPs585 senaryolarına göre 2060 ve 2100 yıllarına kadar olan süreçte bu parametrelerin nasıl değişeceği belirlenmeye çalışılmıştır. Çalışma sonucunda Muş il genelinde büyük oranda sıcaklık artışı olacağı, iklim tiplerinin kurak iklim tiplerine doğru kayacağı öngörülmektedir. Bu değişimin etkilerinin büyük oranda bitkiler üzerinde görüleceği, tarım, orman ve mera alanlarındaki etkilerin, ekonomisi büyük oranda tarım ve hayvancılığa bağlı ilde yıkıcı sonuçları olacağı tahmin edilmektedir.

Makale detayları

Possible Changes in Temperature, Precipitation and Climate Types Due to Global Climate Change in Muş

Yazarlar:

Sevgi Karahan

Yayıncı:

Kastamonu University

Ana Başlıklar:

İklim Değişikliği Etkileri ve Uyarlama (Diğer)

Dergi:

MEMBA Su Bilimleri Dergisi Vol.11 Issue 1, pp.84-95

Belge Tipi:

Makale

Yayın Tarihi:

3/2025

Belge Dili:

Türkçe

Document ID (Org No.):

2001344063

pISSN:

3062-3200

Global Climate Change

Mus

SSPs Scenarios

De Martone

EmbergerKüresel İklim değişikliği

Muş

SSPs Senaryoları

De Martone

Emberger

Sayı

Makale detayları

Yazarlar: Sevgi Karahan

Yayıncı: Kastamonu University

Ana Başlıklar: İklim Değişikliği Etkileri ve Uyarlama (Diğer)

Dergi: MEMBA Su Bilimleri Dergisi Vol.11 Issue 1, pp.84-95

Belge Tipi: Makale

Yayın Tarihi: 3/2025

Belge Dili: Türkçe

Document ID (Org No.): 2001344063

pISSN: 3062-3200

Sayı

Yazarlar:

Sevgi Karahan

Yayıncı:

Kastamonu University

Ana Başlıklar:

İklim Değişikliği Etkileri ve Uyarlama (Diğer)

Dergi:

MEMBA Su Bilimleri Dergisi Vol.11 Issue 1, pp.84-95

Belge Tipi:

Makale

Yayın Tarihi:

3/2025

Belge Dili:

Türkçe

Document ID (Org No.):

2001344063

pISSN:

3062-3200