Is The Median Voter Hypothesis Valid in Developed Countries?

Yasin Karadeniz

Makale detayları

Is The Median Voter Hypothesis Valid in Developed Countries?

Yazarlar:

Yasin Karadeniz

Yayıncı:

Ahmet Arif EREN

Ana Başlıklar:

Kamu Ekonomisi

Dergi:

Fiscaoeconomia Vol.9 Issue 1, pp.296-304

Belge Tipi:

Makale

Yayın Tarihi:

2/2025

Belge Dili:

İngilizce

Document ID (Org No.):

2001341604

pISSN:

2564-7504

Anahtar kelimeler:

Özet:

 According to the median-voter hypothesis, the size of the public sector in terms of the redistribution of income is determined by the majority rule. This hypothesis suggests that an increase in average income relative to median income increases the size of government, because voters that have the median income are the decision-making voters. The meaning of the size of the public sector here is social expenditures, tax rates, and public debts. This paper aims to analyze the validity of the median-voter hypothesis on the basis of 24 developed countries for the period 2004-2018. Results of the analysis conducted via the Arellano-BoverBlundell-Bond Two-Stage System Generalized Method of Moments influentially support the claims of the median voter hypothesis about social expenditures, tax rates, and public debts. Results are also valid in terms of their different versions that include control variables of the constructed master patterns.

 According to the median-voter hypothesis, the size of the public sector in terms of the redistribution of income is determined by the majority rule. This hypothesis suggests that an increase in average income relative to median income increases the size of government, because voters that have the median income are the decision-making voters. The meaning of the size of the public sector here is social expenditures, tax rates, and public debts. This paper aims to analyze the validity of the median-voter hypothesis on the basis of 24 developed countries for the period 2004-2018. Results of the analysis conducted via the Arellano-BoverBlundell-Bond Two-Stage System Generalized Method of Moments influentially support the claims of the median voter hypothesis about social expenditures, tax rates, and public debts. Results are also valid in terms of their different versions that include control variables of the constructed master patterns.

 According to the median-voter hypothesis, the size of the public sector in terms of the redistribution of income is determined by the majority rule. This hypothesis suggests that an increase in average income relative to median income increases the size of government, because voters that have the median income are the decision-making voters. The meaning of the size of the public sector here is social expenditures, tax rates, and public debts. This paper aims to analyze the validity of the median-voter hypothesis on the basis of 24 developed countries for the period 2004-2018. Results of the analysis conducted via the Arellano-BoverBlundell-Bond Two-Stage System Generalized Method of Moments influentially support the claims of the median voter hypothesis about social expenditures, tax rates, and public debts. Results are also valid in terms of their different versions that include control variables of the constructed master patterns.

 Ortanca seçmen hipotezine göre gelirin yeniden dağıtımı açısından kamu kesimi büyüklüğü, çoğunluk kuralı tarafından belirlenir. Bu hipotez, ortalama gelirin ortanca gelire göre artışının kamu büyüklüğünü artırdığını ileri sürer. Çünkü ortanca gelire sahip olan seçmen karar verici seçmendir. Burada kamu büyüklüğünden kasıt ise, sosyal harcamalar, vergi oranları ve kamu borçlarıdır. Bu çalışma da ortanca seçmen hipotezinin geçerliliğini, 24 gelişmiş ülke üzerinden 2004-2018 dönemi için araştırmayı amaçlar. Arellano-BoverBlundell-Bond İki Aşamalı Sistem Genelleştirilmiş Momentler Methodu ile yapılan analiz sonuçları; ortanca seçmen hipotezinin sosyal harcama, vergi oranları ve kamu borçlanması ile ilgili iddialarını güçlü bir şekilde desteklemektedir. Sonuçlar, kurulan ana modellerin kontrol değişkenlerini içeren farklı versiyonları açısından da geçerlidir.

Makale detayları

Is The Median Voter Hypothesis Valid in Developed Countries?

Yazarlar:

Yasin Karadeniz

Yayıncı:

Ahmet Arif EREN

Ana Başlıklar:

Kamu Ekonomisi

Dergi:

Fiscaoeconomia Vol.9 Issue 1, pp.296-304

Belge Tipi:

Makale

Yayın Tarihi:

2/2025

Belge Dili:

İngilizce

Document ID (Org No.):

2001341604

pISSN:

2564-7504

Median Voter Hypothesis

Public Debts

Social Expenditures

Marginal Tax Rate

Dynamic Panel Data AnalysisOrtanca Seçmen Hipotezi

Kamu Borçları

Sosyal Harcamalar

Marjinal Vergi Oranı

Dinamik Panel Veri Analizi

Sayı

Makale detayları

Yazarlar: Yasin Karadeniz

Yayıncı: Ahmet Arif EREN

Ana Başlıklar: Kamu Ekonomisi

Dergi: Fiscaoeconomia Vol.9 Issue 1, pp.296-304

Belge Tipi: Makale

Yayın Tarihi: 2/2025

Belge Dili: İngilizce

Document ID (Org No.): 2001341604

pISSN: 2564-7504

Sayı

Yazarlar:

Yasin Karadeniz

Yayıncı:

Ahmet Arif EREN

Ana Başlıklar:

Kamu Ekonomisi

Dergi:

Fiscaoeconomia Vol.9 Issue 1, pp.296-304

Belge Tipi:

Makale

Yayın Tarihi:

2/2025

Belge Dili:

İngilizce

Document ID (Org No.):

2001341604

pISSN:

2564-7504